Coronavirus - a glimpse of how things will happen
We've had a few minor virus scares in recent history: SARS, MERS, Ebola. Now we're seeing a new strain of coronavirus, covid-19
The virus has severely spooked financial markets, terrifying them of the global economic impact. It would've been nice to have sold some stocks a month ago so we'd have some money to buy some bargain ones now, or in the coming weeks. But we didn't so we'll just ride it out.
I expect the market to recover sometime in the spring or early summer.
Just keep in mind this is just a taste of how a real pandemic will affect the world-connected economy. While the efficiency of a just-in-time production and sales economy means less is being wasted, it also means the marketplace is extremely sensitive to any disruption.
Companies in China have slowed production to a crawl, which means there will be less supply of those items. Demand for raw materials and oil had dropped because production isn't where it should be. So the cost of materials will be dropping due to decreased demand.
But the consumers are still demanding products and as the supply decreases the price will increase or certain items just won't be available.
The interesting thing about the particular coronavirus strain is it targets certain receptors (the ACE2) in its cellular attachment more easily that others. While these receptors are found throughout the world, certain populations, like east Asian, tend to have a higher frequency of them. The other interesting thing is the covid-19 has antibody dependent enhancements. This means if someone has had another coronavirus (like SARS or MERS) and now has antibodies in their system the covid-19 would be easier to catch and could be more lethal. Both factors make the covid-19 much more of a concern among certain populations of the world, like those in China.
https://www.homegrownherbalist.net/blogs/news/covid-19-the-chinese-coronavirus-some-new-information?ml_subscriber=1364712117738933754&ml_subscriber_hash=q1d8
This makes me wonder how effective any coronavirus vaccines might be. If the theory of a vaccination is to cause the body to build immunity against a disease, where the body has antibodies, then wouldn't an antibody dependent virus be more likely to infect somebody with those vaccine-induced antibodies?
Although there is no definite proof the covid-19 is bioengineered, I believe it was likely being studied and probably got accidentally released. Most likely because it can be contagious for a week (or more) before any symptoms show. Somebody in the Wuhan lab probably got accidentally got infected.
Whether the covid-19 was released intentionally or not, the reality is it provides a great opportunity to study the spread of a disease among a world-connected population.
It also provides us with a front-row seat to witness the restrictions, quarantines, and government-imposed control mechanisms that come into play with an outbreak.
Freedom to travel is gone. Even going back to your home country you are likely to face strict re-entry requirements and possible quarantine.
If a highly contagious illness gets a foothold in the trucking industry, imagine how that would grind commerce to a halt.
The virus has severely spooked financial markets, terrifying them of the global economic impact. It would've been nice to have sold some stocks a month ago so we'd have some money to buy some bargain ones now, or in the coming weeks. But we didn't so we'll just ride it out.
I expect the market to recover sometime in the spring or early summer.
Just keep in mind this is just a taste of how a real pandemic will affect the world-connected economy. While the efficiency of a just-in-time production and sales economy means less is being wasted, it also means the marketplace is extremely sensitive to any disruption.
Companies in China have slowed production to a crawl, which means there will be less supply of those items. Demand for raw materials and oil had dropped because production isn't where it should be. So the cost of materials will be dropping due to decreased demand.
But the consumers are still demanding products and as the supply decreases the price will increase or certain items just won't be available.
The interesting thing about the particular coronavirus strain is it targets certain receptors (the ACE2) in its cellular attachment more easily that others. While these receptors are found throughout the world, certain populations, like east Asian, tend to have a higher frequency of them. The other interesting thing is the covid-19 has antibody dependent enhancements. This means if someone has had another coronavirus (like SARS or MERS) and now has antibodies in their system the covid-19 would be easier to catch and could be more lethal. Both factors make the covid-19 much more of a concern among certain populations of the world, like those in China.
https://www.homegrownherbalist.net/blogs/news/covid-19-the-chinese-coronavirus-some-new-information?ml_subscriber=1364712117738933754&ml_subscriber_hash=q1d8
This makes me wonder how effective any coronavirus vaccines might be. If the theory of a vaccination is to cause the body to build immunity against a disease, where the body has antibodies, then wouldn't an antibody dependent virus be more likely to infect somebody with those vaccine-induced antibodies?
Although there is no definite proof the covid-19 is bioengineered, I believe it was likely being studied and probably got accidentally released. Most likely because it can be contagious for a week (or more) before any symptoms show. Somebody in the Wuhan lab probably got accidentally got infected.
Whether the covid-19 was released intentionally or not, the reality is it provides a great opportunity to study the spread of a disease among a world-connected population.
It also provides us with a front-row seat to witness the restrictions, quarantines, and government-imposed control mechanisms that come into play with an outbreak.
Freedom to travel is gone. Even going back to your home country you are likely to face strict re-entry requirements and possible quarantine.
If a highly contagious illness gets a foothold in the trucking industry, imagine how that would grind commerce to a halt.
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